Thursday, March 21, 2019
future of electric vehicles
8:19
Driving into 2025: The Future of Electric Vehicles | Global Research Live | J.P. Morgan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-S3XlCWbSU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=D-S3XlCWbSU
jpmorgan
Published on Oct 5, 2018
03:48
so on the other side of the spectrum is, of course Europe, where our forecasts of calling them by 2025, there will be no internal combustion engine (ice) vehicle sold at all.
05:50
cobalt it's very well supplied market, at least until 2023.
07:09
we intentionally decided to make the cut off date at 2025, why, because we have very little visibility beyond 2025.
EV battery range and life are improving steadily, with the prospect of an affordable 600 km [(370 miles)] range vehicle by 2020 looking possible. (Ireland, 02 June 2015)
source:
https://www.jpmorgan.com/global/research/electric-vehicles
http://www.engineersjournal.ie/2019/03/12/seven-ways-electric-vehicles-are-set-to-change-the-future/
http://www.engineersjournal.ie/category/elec/
Electric Vehicles Coming of Age: Part 2 – Battery cost and infrastructural developments
http://www.engineersjournal.ie/2015/06/02/electric-vehicles-developments/
10:15
How soon could electric vehicles growth hit the oil sector?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=douhDTCM14Y
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=douhDTCM14Y
S&P Global Platts
Published on Oct 17, 2017
it typically takes 5 to 10 years for new mining project to come on stream
lithium: Chile, Argentina, Bolivia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/California_Air_Resources_Board
40:50
The future we're building -- and boring | Elon Musk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIwLWfaAg-8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zIwLWfaAg-8
https://youtu.be/zIwLWfaAg-8?t=2159
https://youtu.be/zIwLWfaAg-8?t=2159
TED
Published on May 3, 2017
35:59
EM: I think there's --
I look at the future from the standpoint of probabilities.
It's like a branching stream of probabilities,
and there are actions that we can take that affect those probabilities
or that accelerate one thing or slow down another thing.
I may introduce something new to the probability stream.
Sustainable energy will happen no matter what.
If there was no Tesla, if Tesla never existed,
it would have to happen out of necessity.
It's tautological.
If you don't have sustainable energy, it means you have unsustainable energy.
Eventually you will run out,
and the laws of economics will drive civilization
towards sustainable energy,
inevitably.
The fundamental value of a company like Tesla
is the degree to which it accelerates the advent of sustainable energy,
faster than it would otherwise occur.
So when I think, like,
what is the fundamental good of a company like Tesla,
I would say, hopefully,
if it accelerated that by a decade, potentially more than a decade,
that would be quite a good thing to occur.
That's what I consider to be
the fundamental aspirational good of Tesla.
2:14
Elon Musk: Accelerating Electric Car Adoption
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vymFN08pIzM
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vymFN08pIzM
Stanford Graduate School of Business
Published on Apr 14, 2014
9:03
General Motors EV1 OverView
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fLknNrrL6QU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fLknNrrL6QU
EV1Forever
Published on Jan 27, 2009
6:12
GM Killed their BEST product EVER!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3OnYjP4FTk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=l3OnYjP4FTk
Steve Todey
Published on Sep 25, 2009
last consumer ev1 in los angeles
july 2004
1. 1909 Baker Electric Coupe
https://www.nytimes.com/2007/08/05/automobiles/05BAKER.html
2. Forgotten Concept: 1966 Chevy Electrovair II
https://www.autoblog.com/2010/08/13/forgotten-concept-1966-chevy-electrovair-ii/
3. general motors EV1
from 1996 to 1999.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/General_Motors_EV1
4. toyota rav4 EV
1997 to 2003
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Toyota_RAV4_EV
5. honda EV
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Honda_EV_Plus
8:43
Did You Know - The First Cars Were Electric?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlMFLPGUiQE
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XlMFLPGUiQE
ColdFusion
Published on Nov 27, 2017
2:25
1914 Detroit Electric Car
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v_05ddNt_-8
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v_05ddNt_-8
EdisonTechCenter
Published on Dec 11, 2014
13:43
Jay Leno's Baker Electric Car
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OhnjMdzGusc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OhnjMdzGusc
MyClassicCarTV
Published on Nov 26, 2012
3:11
http://www.ev1.org/nimhsup.htm
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Patent_encumbrance_of_large_automotive_NiMH_batteries
Masahiko Oshitani
large-format NiMH batteries
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stanford_R._Ovshinsky
The Electric Car: The Untold Story | Ep. 16 Electrovair and Electrovan Public Release
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rr0-vEen_gU
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Rr0-vEen_gU
PilotCarRegistry
Published on Aug 5, 2018
12:03
5 Electric Vehicles( EVS) You Should See
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SawqMSTYUSk
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SawqMSTYUSk
techupdate
Published on Feb 6, 2017
16:51
Advanced Engineering Summit: Sarwant Singh, Partner at Frost & Sullivan
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZK3oHE8LXQ
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZK3oHE8LXQ
UK Trade & Investment (UKTI)
Published on Aug 10, 2012
13:52
fastest growing (selective) technologies (world), penetration of total cars sold annually (2020)
On energy projection (energy consumption patterns)
Steve Coll, Private empire : exxonmobil an american power, 2013 [ ]
p.304 2030 and beyond
Oil and gas were here to stay, Exxon-Mobil's economists and planners had concluded; fossil fuels would be central to global economics and security until 2030 and beyond.
p.306 Exxon's forecasters
It turned out that in 1980, Exxon's forecasters had been half right and half wrong about the future. They had correctly predicted, within 1 percent, the total amount of energy the world would consume in 2000--a remarkable feat.
p.306 steady-as-you-go & available supply
The answer, he said, was to manage on a “steady-as-you-go basis and try to make sure the fundamentals are right.” Rather than forecasting price, Raymond decided to concentrate instead on predicting volumes--the amount of oil and other energy sources global consumers would demand over time, and also the amount of available supply.5
p.307 3 percent per year until 2030
Historically, ExxonMobile's analysts believed, the pace of a country's economic growth typically explained about two thirds of its changes in energy consumption; population changes explained only about one third. Economic activity, in other words, not the number of people, would be the most important factor in future energy demand. When they added up all of their individual country predictions, ExxonMobil's analysts concluded that the world's economy would grow on average by about 3 percent per year until 2030.6
p.308 transportation sector
The transportation sector--cars, pickup trucks, heavy trucks, airplanes, ships, and trains--was the most important factor in the global market for liquid oil. Three quarters of the roughly 20 million barrels of oil the United States consumed each day was as transportation fuel; the rest went to industrial uses, such as the manufacture of plastics. Virtually no oil went to generate electricity--coal, natural gas, hydroelectric, and nuclear energy provided the main sources of electric power generation.
...; unless all-electric cars and vehicles spread very rapidly in the United States, windmill construction, whatever its pace, would have little impact on the amount of foreign oil the United States consumed.
p.309
Titanic changes in the patterns of energy use over decades would be required to create even modest changes in fuel consumption patterns.
pp.310-311
...; they predicted, therefore, that CO2 emissions would rise by an additional 30 percent worldwide between 2005 and 2030.
(Private empire : exxonmobil an american power / by steve coll., 1. exxon corporation, 2. exxon mobil corporation, 3. petroleum industry and trade--political aspects--united states, 4. corporate power--united states, 5. big business--united states, )
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